Sport Picks
Gorna vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gorna at 0.97 goals for, 1.52 against; Septemvri Sofia at 1.04 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Septemvri Sofia slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2021, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.69) back Septemvri Sofia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Septemvri Sofia at 1.04 per game, Gorna at 0.97.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Septemvri Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Septemvri Sofia have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gorna | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Gorna's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
