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Gornik Konin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 game between Gornik Konin and Chemik Bydgoszcz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gornik Konin
6%
Draws
90%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chemik Bydgoszcz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chemik Bydgoszcz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Konin Chemik Bydgoszcz
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.83 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:3
Nov 10, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gornik Konin
1:3
Apr 8, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:3
Sep 3, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gornik Konin
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Konin 10 / 100
Chemik Bydgoszcz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Konin Chemik Bydgoszcz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Gornik Konin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Chemik Bydgoszcz let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gornik Konin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Konin VS Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2.83 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Konin

(Home)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
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Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Away)
25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
GKS Wikielec
0 : 7
Chemik Bydgoszcz
11 Jul
Plock II
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
07 Feb
GKS Wikielec
3 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
08 Feb
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 0
Kleczew
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938
Promotion - Division 2 2019/2020 (Main)