Sport Picks

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Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Szukielowicz D.

AI Match Summary

Gwardia Koszalin in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gwardia Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gornik Konin
33%
Draws
27%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Konin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwardia Koszalin have won more games recently than Gornik Konin.
  • Gornik Konin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 20%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Konin Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:1
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1
May 2, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
2:3
May 25, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Konin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Szukielowicz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Konin 40 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Konin Gwardia Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Gwardia Koszalin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Gornik Konin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Konin VS Gwardia Koszalin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762