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Gornik Konin vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lesniewski R.
23' Event
Jurkow P.
41' Event
Marchel A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Gornik Konin and Nielba Wagrowiec finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gornik Konin
11%
Draws
80%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Nielba Wagrowiec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nielba Wagrowiec are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 13%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Konin Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
3:2
Aug 29, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gornik Konin
4:0
Mar 28, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gornik Konin
0:0
Aug 18, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Nielba Wagrowiec
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurkow P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mielczarek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchel A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Konin 11 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Konin Nielba Wagrowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nielba Wagrowiec conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Gornik Konin scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Difficult form: Nielba Wagrowiec registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Konin VS Nielba Wagrowiec
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Konin

(Home)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
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Nielba Wagrowiec

(Away)
25 Jan
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
27 Jul
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
24 Feb
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
26 Jun
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 3
Nielba Wagrowiec
19 Jun
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 : 4
Pomorzanin Torun
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