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Gornik Zabrze II vs Chrobry Glogow II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze II play Chrobry Glogow II in the III Liga - Group III 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gornik Zabrze II averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Chrobry Glogow II averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Gornik Zabrze II won 0, Chrobry Glogow II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 3, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Gornik Zabrze II and 1.13 for Chrobry Glogow II. This points to a Gornik Zabrze II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gornik Zabrze II
22%
Draws
27%
Chrobry Glogow II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gornik Zabrze II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze II picked up more points recently compared to Chrobry Glogow II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 21%
Chrobry Glogow II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze II Chrobry Glogow II
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.19 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Chrobry Glogow II
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Chrobry Glogow II vs Gornik Zabrze II
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pytlewski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Chrobry Glogow II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojciechowski T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze II 50 / 100
Chrobry Glogow II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze II Chrobry Glogow II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gornik Zabrze II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gornik Zabrze II attacking → ← attacking Chrobry Glogow II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Zabrze II scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Chrobry Glogow II let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Gornik Zabrze II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chrobry Glogow II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 22
3.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Polonia Bytom34243769:3475
2RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34198764:3465
3Rekord Bielsko-Biala34198769:4265
4Sleza Wroclaw341931273:5560
5Carina Gubin341661247:4554
6Gornik Zabrze II341561368:6151
7Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory341491160:5251
8Kluczbork341461461:5548
9Zielona Gora3412111151:5147
10Goczalkowice Zdroj3412101241:4346
11Pniowek Pawlowice3412101264:6046
12Stilon Gorzow341351650:6244
13Warta Gorzow3411101342:5643
14Brzeg341071751:7537
15Polonia Nysa348121442:5036
16Legnica II34791845:6330
17Odra Wodzislaw34772057:8828
18Chrobry Glogow II34742342:7025