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Gornik Zabrze II vs Polkowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze II play Polkowice in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gornik Zabrze II averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Polkowice averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Gornik Zabrze II won 2, Polkowice won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Gornik Zabrze II and 1.88 for Polkowice. This points to a Polkowice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gornik Zabrze II
24%
Draws
38%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Polkowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze II picked up more points recently compared to Polkowice.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze II Polkowice
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.37 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Polkowice
6:0
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:1
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Polkowice
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Polkowice
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosiba B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leszczyk K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Polkowice Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze II 36 / 100
Polkowice 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze II Polkowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polkowice or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gornik Zabrze II attacking → ← attacking Polkowice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Zabrze II scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Polkowice let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gornik Zabrze II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Polkowice lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 53
1.86 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057