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Gornik Zabrze II vs Starowice Dolne Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wodecki M.
7' Event
Plocica M.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Plocica M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze II in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gornik Zabrze II
15%
Draws
36%
Starowice Dolne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gornik Zabrze II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Zabrze II lately — more wins on the board than Starowice Dolne.
  • Model gives Gornik Zabrze II a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 20%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze II Starowice Dolne
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.39 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Starowice Dolne
7:0
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Gornik Zabrze II
0:4
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Starowice Dolne
3:2
Apr 18, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Starowice Dolne
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wodecki M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plocica M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Starowice Dolne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze II 85 / 100
Starowice Dolne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze II Starowice Dolne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gornik Zabrze II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gornik Zabrze II scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Starowice Dolne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Starowice Dolne has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze II VS Starowice Dolne
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze II

(Home)
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
22 May
Gornik Zabrze II
6 : 0
Polkowice
16 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
13 May
Gornik Zabrze II
0 : 1
Legnica II
Page 1 of 7

Starowice Dolne

(Away)
18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Starowice Dolne
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1
Starowice Dolne
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Zielona Gora
5 : 1
Starowice Dolne
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)