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Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sadilek L.
12' Event
Talisca A.
(Penalty)
28'
Janza E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gornik Zabrze
30%
Draws
37%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fenerbahce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fenerbahce a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Fenerbahce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze Fenerbahce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.52 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Champions League
Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce
1:1
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fenerbahce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 10 / 100
Fenerbahce 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gornik Zabrze scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gornik Zabrze stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fenerbahce let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze VS Fenerbahce
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze

(Home)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Fenerbahce

(Away)
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6