Sport Picks
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze 
Match Events
14'
14'
Matuszewski K.
46'
46'
Sub
Janza E. In: Zmrzly O.
Out: Janza E.
64'
64'
Sub
Remacle M. In: Gustafson S.
Out: Remacle M.
AI Match Summary
Gornik Zabrze in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Zabrze
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gornik Zabrze lately — more wins on the board than Korona Kielce.
- Win probability leans Gornik Zabrze's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 68%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
May 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gornik Zabrze Compare
Top Goalscorer Janicki R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Korona Kielce Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gornik Zabrze 50 / 100
Korona Kielce 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gornik Zabrze Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gornik Zabrze scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Korona Kielce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Gornik Zabrze stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gornik Zabrze VS Korona Kielce
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gornik Zabrze
(Home) 25 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
16 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
10 Jul
Nordsjaelland
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
04 Jul
Tirol
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
24 Jun
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 0 Puszcza
23 May
Gornik Zabrze
6 : 2 Radomiak Radom
09 May
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Zaglebie
02 May
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 3
Korona Kielce
(Away) 26 Jul
Korona Kielce
1 : 0 Aris Limassol
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0 S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0 Omonia
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1 Korona Kielce
08 May
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0 Korona Kielce
18 Apr
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
06 Apr
Lechia Gdansk
4 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
