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Stadium Background

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Khlan M.
13' Event
Khlan M.
Assist: Ikia Dimi Y.
23'
Luquinhas

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Zabrze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gornik Zabrze
28%
Draws
22%
Radomiak Radom
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gornik Zabrze are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 20%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze Radomiak Radom
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
6:2
Nov 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
4:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 Polish Cup
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Khlan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sadilek L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Radomiak Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soumah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 49 / 100
Radomiak Radom 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze Radomiak Radom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Radomiak Radom conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Gornik Zabrze scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: Gornik Zabrze stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze VS Radomiak Radom
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534