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Gorno Lisice vs Novaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorno Lisice host Novaci in the 2. MFL. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Novaci have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Gorno Lisice have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Gorno Lisice have won 2 to Novaci's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 19, 2018, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.63, favoring Novaci. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gorno Lisice
20%
Draws
57%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novaci lately — more wins on the board than Gorno Lisice.
  • Win probability leans Gorno Lisice's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gorno Lisice Clean Sheet 20%
Novaci Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorno Lisice Novaci
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 2. MFL
Gorno Lisice vs Novaci
0:0
Oct 28, 2017 2. MFL
Gorno Lisice vs Novaci
2:1
Aug 27, 2017 2. MFL
Novaci vs Gorno Lisice
2:0
Apr 30, 2017 2. MFL
Novaci vs Gorno Lisice
4:0
Oct 29, 2016 2. MFL
Novaci vs Gorno Lisice
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorno Lisice 36 / 100
Novaci 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorno Lisice Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gorno Lisice's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Novaci let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Gorno Lisice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorno Lisice VS Novaci
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorno Lisice

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Ohrid
2 : 1
Gorno Lisice
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
22 Aug
Gorno Lisice
0 : 1
Makedonija GP
Page 1 of 6

Novaci

(Away)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)