Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zmaj Makarska

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GOSK Dubrovnik in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GOSK Dubrovnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
GOSK Dubrovnik
17%
Draws
13%
Zmaj Makarska
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: GOSK Dubrovnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • GOSK Dubrovnik haven't matched Zmaj Makarska's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GOSK Dubrovnik a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 20%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOSK Dubrovnik Zmaj Makarska
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zmaj Makarska
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs GOSK Dubrovnik
0:0
May 8, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zmaj Makarska
4:1
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs GOSK Dubrovnik
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOSK Dubrovnik 67 / 100
Zmaj Makarska 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOSK Dubrovnik Zmaj Makarska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOSK Dubrovnik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zmaj Makarska's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Zmaj Makarska registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GOSK Dubrovnik VS Zmaj Makarska
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GOSK Dubrovnik

(Home)
24 Jan
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Jadran Luka Ploce
28 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
GOSK Dubrovnik
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Zmaj Makarska

(Away)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)