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Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Pinchard H.
82' Event
Simpson K.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Gosport Borough and Gloucester City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gloucester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gosport Borough
6%
Draws
90%
Gloucester City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gosport Borough haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gloucester City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Gloucester City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough
4:2
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough
2:2
Feb 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City
1:3
Sep 17, 2024 FA Cup
Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinchard H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 10 / 100
Gloucester City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Gloucester City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gosport Borough scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Gloucester City conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Gosport Borough went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Gloucester City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518