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Gotham FC W vs Chicago Stars W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
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Match Events

9' Event
Shaw J.
Assist: Kerr S.
14'
Gasper A.
20'
Purce M.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Gotham FC W and Chicago Stars W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gotham FC W
20%
Draws
7%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Chicago Stars W haven't matched Gotham FC W's recent run of results.
  • Gotham FC W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotham FC W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.26 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Chicago Stars W
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Gotham FC W
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Gotham FC W
1:1
May 4, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Chicago Stars W
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Gotham FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellarose T. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotham FC W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotham FC W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Stars W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Gotham FC W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Gotham FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gotham FC W VS Chicago Stars W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotham FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
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Chicago Stars W

(Away)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)