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Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
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Match Events

43'
Nijstad N.
60'
Sub
Lyles R. In: Weaver M.
Out: Lyles R.
60'
Sub
Castellanos D. In: Hanks C.
Out: Castellanos D.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Gotham FC W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gotham FC W
30%
Draws
23%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gotham FC W come out ahead of Portland Thorns FC W on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotham FC W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
4:1
Nov 10, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotham FC W 30 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotham FC W Portland Thorns FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Gotham FC W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Portland Thorns FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Gotham FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gotham FC W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotham FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

Portland Thorns FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)