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Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Freeman M.
14' Event
Fishel M.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Mercado M.
Assist: Dahlien M.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Gotham FC W and Seattle Reign W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gotham FC W
15%
Draws
32%
Seattle Reign W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gotham FC W come out ahead of Seattle Reign W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotham FC W Seattle Reign W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign W
3:2
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign W
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
1:1
Sep 17, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lavelle R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Seattle Reign W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotham FC W 41 / 100
Seattle Reign W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotham FC W Seattle Reign W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gotham FC W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Seattle Reign W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Gotham FC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gotham FC W VS Seattle Reign W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotham FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
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Seattle Reign W

(Away)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)