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Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
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Match Events

34'
Sub
Dudley J. In: Carter J.
Out: Dudley J.
37' Event
Lavelle R.
Assist: Howell J. M.
45'
Carle G.

AI Match Summary

Gotham FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gotham FC W
15%
Draws
40%
Washington Spirit W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gotham FC W have won more games recently than Washington Spirit W.
  • Model gives Gotham FC W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotham FC W Washington Spirit W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 20 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavelle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Washington Spirit W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotham FC W 42 / 100
Washington Spirit W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotham FC W Washington Spirit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gotham FC W scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Gotham FC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Washington Spirit W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gotham FC W VS Washington Spirit W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotham FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
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Washington Spirit W

(Away)
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3
Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)