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Goyazan Qazax vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goyazan Qazax play MOIK Baku in the First Division 2014/2015. MOIK Baku are favorites here. Recently, Goyazan Qazax averaged 0.76 goals scored and 3.08 conceded. MOIK Baku averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Goyazan Qazax won 0, MOIK Baku won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2017 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Goyazan Qazax and 1.18 for MOIK Baku. This points to a MOIK Baku double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Goyazan Qazax
16%
Draws
66%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Goyazan Qazax picked up more points recently compared to MOIK Baku.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Goyazan Qazax Clean Sheet 20%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goyazan Qazax MOIK Baku
Matches Played 37 56
Wins 4 25
Draws 10 11
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.76 1.59
Goals Conceded 3.08 1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2017 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Goyazan Qazax
6:1
Nov 24, 2016 I Liqa
Goyazan Qazax vs MOIK Baku
0:5
Mar 12, 2016 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Goyazan Qazax
4:0
Oct 8, 2015 I Liqa
Goyazan Qazax vs MOIK Baku
1:2
May 8, 2015 I Liqa
Goyazan Qazax vs MOIK Baku
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goyazan Qazax 20 / 100
MOIK Baku 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goyazan Qazax MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick MOIK Baku & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Goyazan Qazax attacking → ← attacking MOIK Baku

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goyazan Qazax scored in 38% of their last 37 games.

MOIK Baku let in goals in 70% of their last 56 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Goyazan Qazax went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 86
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ANSAD Neftcala30253283:1978
2Agsu (Inactive)30214570:2267
3Ravan30214570:2267
4Lokbatan30205557:2565
5Zira FK 230196561:1963
6Turan301551075:3750
7Sahdag Qusar30138940:2947
8Susa301441249:3146
9Kapaz301081237:3738
10Bakili Baku301041646:6134
11Shamkir30881425:4632
12MOIK Baku30851726:6029
13Imisli FK30751830:6526
14Mingachevir30532224:8218
15Goyazan Qazax30332415:9112
16Bilajary30312610:7210