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Goytacaz vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Wed, Jun 17, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Rio. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. America RJ have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Goytacaz have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Goytacaz have won 0 to America RJ's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.24) point toward Goytacaz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Goytacaz
22%
Draws
18%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Goytacaz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Goytacaz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor America RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%
America RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz America RJ
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Goytacaz
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Goytacaz vs America RJ
0:0
Feb 23, 2019 Carioca
America RJ vs Goytacaz
3:2
Feb 2, 2019 Carioca
Goytacaz vs America RJ
1:2
Jan 10, 2019 Carioca
Goytacaz vs America RJ
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 68 / 100
America RJ 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz America RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytacaz scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

America RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Goytacaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS America RJ
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

America RJ

(Away)
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso2
Madureira2
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista1
Perolas Negras0
Marica0
America RJ0
Nova Iguacu1
Olaria2
Bangu0
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-