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Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Goytacaz
30%
Draws
31%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Goytacaz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 20%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Belford Roxo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 36 / 100
Belford Roxo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goytacaz scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Goytacaz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belford Roxo has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Belford Roxo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
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Belford Roxo

(Away)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz RJ 2
Macae 4
Belford Roxo 1
Goytacaz 2
Final
Macae 2
Goytacaz 5