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Goytacaz vs FC Rio de Janeiro

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Lekinho
(Penalty)
28' Event
Lekinho
90' Event
Valker

AI Match Summary

Goytacaz in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Goytacaz
6%
Draws
4%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Goytacaz have won more games recently than FC Rio de Janeiro.
  • Goytacaz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs FC Rio de Janeiro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valker
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 85 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz FC Rio de Janeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Rio de Janeiro conceded in 89% of 19 recent games.

Goytacaz found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Goytacaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS FC Rio de Janeiro
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Away)
09 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
26 Oct
Belford Roxo
4 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
19 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 6
Macae
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)