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Goytacaz vs Niteroiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goytacaz host Niteroiense in the Carioca B1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Niteroiense have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Goytacaz have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.32. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 0.81, favoring Goytacaz. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Goytacaz
20%
Draws
45%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytacaz haven't matched Niteroiense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 20%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Niteroiense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 32 / 100
Niteroiense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytacaz found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Goytacaz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Niteroiense
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.14
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
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Niteroiense

(Away)
03 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)