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Goytacaz vs Paraty Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Goytacaz Logo

Goytacaz

3 - 2
FT
Paraty Logo

Paraty

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pereira W.
30' Event
Soto R.
60' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Goytacaz in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Goytacaz
15%
Draws
0%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Goytacaz have won more games recently than Paraty.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Goytacaz taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Paraty
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Paraty
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Paraty Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 95 / 100
Paraty 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Paraty has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Goytacaz scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Paraty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Paraty
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

Paraty

(Away)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)