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Goytre AFC vs Monmouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Division 1
Fri, Feb 28, 2020
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goytre AFC host Monmouth in the Division 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Goytre AFC at 2.29 goals for, 1.95 against; Monmouth at 1.61 for, 2.22 against. Head-to-head, Goytre AFC have won 1 to Monmouth's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.93 xG vs 1.40) point toward Goytre AFC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Goytre AFC
15%
Draws
51%
Monmouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytre AFC come out ahead of Monmouth on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monmouth taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 17%
Monmouth Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre AFC Monmouth
Matches Played 21 18
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.29 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2020 Division 1
Monmouth vs Goytre AFC
0:0
Feb 28, 2020 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Monmouth
0:0
Feb 24, 2018 Division 1
Monmouth vs Goytre AFC
2:0
Nov 10, 2017 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Monmouth
4:1
Mar 18, 2017 Division 1
Monmouth vs Goytre AFC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre AFC 10 / 100
Monmouth 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre AFC Monmouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monmouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre AFC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Monmouth let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Goytre AFC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Goytre AFC VS Monmouth
1 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre AFC

(Home)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 5

Monmouth

(Away)
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3
Pill
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2
Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0
Monmouth
04 Sept
Monmouth
3 : 0
Llanelli
14 Aug
Monmouth
3 : 1
Cwmamman United
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)