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Goytre Utd vs Baglan Dragons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Jun 21, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goytre Utd host Baglan Dragons in the Club Friendly 2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Goytre Utd at 1.19 goals for, 2.59 against; Baglan Dragons at 0.97 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Goytre Utd have won 1 to Baglan Dragons's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.25, favoring Baglan Dragons. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Goytre Utd
15%
Draws
42%
Baglan Dragons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Baglan Dragons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre Utd Baglan Dragons
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Goytre Utd vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Goytre Utd
6:1
Aug 6, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Baglan Dragons
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Goytre Utd
2:1
Dec 15, 2023 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Baglan Dragons
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre Utd 32 / 100
Baglan Dragons 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre Utd Baglan Dragons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Goytre Utd found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Baglan Dragons conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Baglan Dragons lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytre Utd VS Baglan Dragons
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre Utd

(Home)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
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Baglan Dragons

(Away)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
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