Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Bishop L.
36'
36'
Watts K.
54'
54'
Steadman K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Goytre Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
- Caerau Ely arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Goytre Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Goytre Utd | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Goytre Utd
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
0:2
Aug 2, 2024 League Cup
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
3:2
Apr 9, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Caerau Ely
6:2
Sep 8, 2023 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Goytre Utd
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Goytre Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Watts K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Steadman K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Caerau Ely Compare
Top Goalscorer Bishop L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shephard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Goytre Utd 27 / 100
Caerau Ely 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Goytre Utd Caerau Ely
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Goytre Utd scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Caerau Ely conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Goytre Utd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Goytre Utd VS Caerau Ely
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Goytre Utd
(Home) 04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2 Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6 Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1 Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2 Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2 Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6 Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1 Ammanford Town
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3 Cambrian United
12 Apr
Goytre Utd
0 : 3 Newport City
Page 1 of 3
Caerau Ely
(Away) 11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Caerau Ely
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Prestatyn 1
Buckley 5
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Llandudno FC 3
Newport 0
Penrhyncoch 0
Guilsfield 3
Cardiff U21 3
Afan Lido 1
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Taffs Well 1
Merthyr Town 3
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Goytre Utd 4
Caerau Ely 2
Trefelin 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 2
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town 2
Cambrian United 1
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Flint Mountain 0
Gresford 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Mold Alexandra 2
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Ruthin Town 2
Bangor 1876 1
TBD -
Bala -
Caersws FC 0
Holywell Town FC 1
Llay Welfare 3
Denbigh 1
1/16-finals
Buckley 0
Connahs Q. 3
Newtown 2
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Aberystwyth 2
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 2
Cardiff U21 3
Pontypridd United 1
Merthyr Town 2
Ammanford Town 0
Llantwit Major 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Goytre Utd 3
Caerau Ely 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 1
Barry Town 2
Llanelli 1
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 0
Haverfordwest 5
Gresford 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
TNS 5
Flint Town 1
Ruthin Town 0
Bala 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llay Welfare 1
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 3
Caernarfon 2
Aberystwyth 3
Llandudno FC 2
Cardiff U21 2
Merthyr Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Goytre Utd 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Barry Town 4
Penybont 1
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
TNS 1
Bala 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Quarter-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 3
Penybont 2
TNS 3
Bala 1
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 1
Barry Town 1
TNS 2
Final
Aberystwyth 0
TNS 1
