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Goytre Utd vs Pontyclun FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Goytre Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Goytre Utd
44%
Draws
20%
Pontyclun FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontyclun FC haven't matched Goytre Utd's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Goytre Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Goytre Utd, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre Utd Pontyclun FC
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2018 FA Cup
Goytre Utd vs Pontyclun FC
1:0
Oct 6, 2012 FA Cup
Goytre Utd vs Pontyclun FC
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre Utd 34 / 100
Pontyclun FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre Utd Pontyclun FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontyclun FC conceded in 100% of 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Goytre Utd's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pontyclun FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytre Utd VS Pontyclun FC
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre Utd

(Home)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Pontyclun FC

(Away)
25 Oct
Blaenavon Blues
4 : 2
Pontyclun FC
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1
Tata Steel
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1
Pontyclun FC
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3
Pontardawe
10 Nov
Goytre Utd
1 : 0
Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cwmbran Town3
Afan Lido2
Pencoed1
Ton Pentre3
Cwmamman United4
Dinas Powys0
Garden Village1
Blaenrhondda2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Haverfordwest2
STM Sports1
Trefelin1
Pure Swansea2
Goytre AFC2
Radnor Valley1
Llanidloes Town1
Pontypridd United2
Flint Town2
Llanrhaeadr1
Brickfield Rangers3
Gresford4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Berriew FC3
Penrhyncoch2
New Brighton Villa1
Prestatyn5
Holyhead4
Corwen2
Coedpoeth2
Ruthin Town3
Cefn Albion7
Dolgellau Athletic1
Mold Alexandra2
Bangor City4
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontyclun FC3
Llantwit Major1
Penlan Club0
Goytre Utd1
Guilsfield2
Rhostyllen0
Llandudno Amateurs2
Nantlle Vale FC4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sully Sports3
Brecon Corinthians1
Ammanford Town0
Cwmbran Celtic3
Porthmadog3
Pwllheli0
Hawarden Rangers2
Llanfair United3
Llay Welfare2
Rhydymwyn0
Penycae FC0
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Llangefni2
Borth United0
Llandudno Albion3
St. Asaph4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Briton Ferry1
Caerau Ely0
Cornelly2
Treharris Athletic3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Cambrian United5
Port Talbot0
West End0
Caldicot6
Buckley3
Brymbo1
Holyhead Town3
Denbigh9
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caersws FC3
Holywell Town FC2
Conwy Borough1
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monmouth4
Undy3
Taffs Well1
Ynysddu Welfare2
Penybont3
Panteg1
Llandrindod1
Aberbargoed Buds2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Barry Town-
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Cwmbran Town1
Ton Pentre2
Cwmamman United2
Blaenrhondda1
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Haverfordwest4
Pure Swansea3
Goytre AFC3
Pontypridd United6
Flint Town3
Gresford2
TBD-
Bala-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
Berriew FC3
Prestatyn6
Holyhead3
Ruthin Town1
Cefn Albion1
Bangor City6
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Pontyclun FC0
Goytre Utd1
Guilsfield4
Nantlle Vale FC3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
TNS-
TBD-
Sully Sports1
Cwmbran Celtic3
Porthmadog4
Llanfair United1
Llay Welfare1
Airbus UK Broughton FC9
Llangefni5
St. Asaph1
TBD-
Llanelli-
Briton Ferry4
Treharris Athletic3
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Cambrian United3
Caldicot2
Buckley1
Denbigh3
Newtown-
TBD-
Caersws FC1
Rhyl3
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Monmouth1
Ynysddu Welfare3
Penybont2
Aberbargoed Buds0
TBD-
Barry Town-
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Ton Pentre1
Cwmamman United3
Aberystwyth4
Haverfordwest3
Pontypridd United0
Flint Town0
Bala3
Caernarfon3
Prestatyn0
Holyhead1
Bangor City4
Carmarthen Town3
Goytre Utd0
Guilsfield2
Connahs Q.4
TNS3
Cwmbran Celtic0
Porthmadog1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangefni1
Llanelli0
Briton Ferry2
Llandudno FC3
Cambrian United2
Denbigh1
Newtown1
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids3
Ynysddu Welfare1
Penybont1
Barry Town4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Aberystwyth1
Haverfordwest0
Bala4
Caernarfon2
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town1
Connahs Q.3
TNS5
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangefni1
Llandudno FC3
Cambrian United3
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids2
Barry Town3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Bala0
Caernarfon1
Connahs Q.2
TNS8
Llandudno FC1
Cambrian United2
Barry Town3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Connahs Q.3
TNS2
Barry Town0
Final
Connahs Q.0
TNS3