Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Romairone A.
22'
22'
Marcaletti E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Gozzano and Derthona FbC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derthona FbC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gozzano haven't matched Derthona FbC's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Derthona FbC taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 19%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gozzano | Derthona FbC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Derthona FbC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gozzano Compare
Top Goalscorer Romairone A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Derthona FbC Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcaletti E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gozzano 24 / 100
Derthona FbC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gozzano Derthona FbC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gozzano scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Derthona FbC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Gozzano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gozzano VS Derthona FbC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gozzano
(Home) 16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2 Gozzano
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 GSD Lascaris
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0 Cairese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2 Chisola
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 3
Derthona FbC
(Away) 20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2 Gozzano
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1 Derthona FbC
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0 Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
