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Gozzano vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Djorkaeff O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Gozzano and Sanremese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gozzano
40%
Draws
29%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanremese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 20%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Sanremese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Sanremese
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Gozzano
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Gozzano
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Sanremese
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Sanremese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Djorkaeff O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 32 / 100
Sanremese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gozzano's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gozzano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS Sanremese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
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Sanremese

(Away)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)