Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gradacac vs Velez Mostar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion Banja Ilidza, Gradacac
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Gradacac have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Velez Mostar's 1.32 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Gradacac slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2019, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.76) back Velez Mostar to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gradacac
30%
Draws
39%
Velez Mostar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Mostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Velez Mostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Velez Mostar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gradacac, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradacac Velez Mostar
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Velez Mostar
1:0
Sep 15, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
Velez Mostar vs Gradacac
7:0
May 26, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Velez Mostar
2:1
Nov 4, 2017 Prva Liga - FBiH
Velez Mostar vs Gradacac
1:1
May 27, 2017 Prva Liga - FBiH
Velez Mostar vs Gradacac
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradacac 31 / 100
Velez Mostar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradacac Velez Mostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gradacac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradacac's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Velez Mostar conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gradacac stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gradacac VS Velez Mostar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradacac

(Home)
17 Oct
Igman Konjic
1 : 0
Gradacac
10 Oct
Gradacac
0 : 1
Bratstvo Gracanica
03 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
Gradacac
26 Sept
Gradacac
3 : 1
Jedinstvo Bihac
20 Sept
Travnik
1 : 0
Gradacac
Page 1 of 7

Velez Mostar

(Away)
09 Oct
Velez Mostar
0 : 0
Siroki Brijeg
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Romanija Pale -
FK Sloga Meridian -
Zvijezda 09 -
Radnik Bijeljina -
Igman Konjic -
BSK Banja Luka -
Tomislav -
FK Sarajevo -
Proleter Dvorovi -
Celik Zenica -
Gradacac -
Velez Mostar -
NK GOSK Gabela -
Siroki Brijeg -
Laktasi -
Zrinjski -
Cazin -
Borac Banja Luka -
Sloboda Tuzla -
Zeljeznicar -
Posusje -
NK Vitez -
Famos Vojkovici -
Leotar -
Slavija -
Capljina -
Visoko -
Majevica -
TOSK Tesanj -
Rudar Prijedor -
Brotnjo Citluk -
Travnik -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -