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Gradina Srebrenik vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction & H2H Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Gradski stadion, Srebrenik
Gradina Srebrenik Logo

Gradina Srebrenik

1 - 4
FT
Siroki Brijeg Logo

Siroki Brijeg

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Mulaosmanovic E.
53' Event
Jelavic D.
56' Event
Jelavic D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gradina Srebrenik
35%
Draws
19%
Siroki Brijeg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gradina Srebrenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siroki Brijeg come out ahead of Gradina Srebrenik on wins alone.
  • 19% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Siroki Brijeg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Siroki Brijeg, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Siroki Brijeg have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gradina Srebrenik Clean Sheet 20%
Siroki Brijeg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradina Srebrenik Siroki Brijeg
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Gradina Srebrenik vs Siroki Brijeg
1:4
Apr 10, 2013 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs Gradina Srebrenik
2:0
Sep 15, 2012 WWIN Liga BiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Siroki Brijeg
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradina Srebrenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulaosmanovic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Siroki Brijeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelavic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradina Srebrenik 36 / 100
Siroki Brijeg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradina Srebrenik Siroki Brijeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siroki Brijeg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siroki Brijeg let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Gradina Srebrenik's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gradina Srebrenik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siroki Brijeg
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradina Srebrenik

(Home)
28 Oct
Gradina Srebrenik
1 : 4
Siroki Brijeg
08 Jun
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradina Srebrenik
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1
Gorazde
21 May
Banovici
0 : 0
Gradina Srebrenik
17 May
Gradina Srebrenik
0 : 4
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6

Siroki Brijeg

(Away)
20 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
2 : 3
Borac Banja Luka
12 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
02 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
29 Aug
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Famos Hrasnica 1
Jedinstvo Bihac 0
Laktasi 3
Zvijezda 09 1
Crni Vrh 0
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 3
Borac Banja Luka 2
NK GOSK Gabela 5
Tuzla City 1
BSK Banja Luka 0
Rudar Prijedor 6
Romanija Pale 0
Zrinjski 2
Stupcanica 2
Leotar 0
Celik Zenica 1
Posusje 0
Hadzici 0
FK Sarajevo 3
Majevica 0
Velez Mostar 1
Gradina Srebrenik 1
Siroki Brijeg 4
Sloboda Tuzla 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Slatina 1
Slavija 2
Grude 0
FK Sloga Meridian 7
Tekstilac Derventa 4
SD Napredak 1
1/8-finals
Famos Hrasnica 0
Laktasi 1
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 1
NK GOSK Gabela 1
Rudar Prijedor 0
Zrinjski 4
Stupcanica 0
Celik Zenica 0
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 2
Siroki Brijeg 1
Zeljeznicar 4
Slavija 0
FK Sloga Meridian 4
Tekstilac Derventa 0
Quarter-finals
Laktasi 2
Radnik Bijeljina 4
NK GOSK Gabela 3
Zrinjski 5
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 5
Zeljeznicar 1
FK Sloga Meridian 2
Semi-finals
Radnik Bijeljina 0
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 6
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Final
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 1