Sport Picks

Graficar Beograd vs Napredak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga

Napredak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Graficar Beograd host Napredak in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Napredak have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Graficar Beograd have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Graficar Beograd have won 0 to Napredak's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Napredak. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Graficar Beograd

30%

Draws

47%

Napredak

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Napredak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Napredak have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Graficar Beograd are scoring more at 1.03.
Napredak are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 17%

Napredak Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Graficar Beograd	Napredak
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	2	6
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	1.03	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga

Napredak vs Graficar Beograd

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Graficar Beograd 20 / 100

Napredak 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Graficar Beograd Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredak Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Graficar Beograd found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Napredak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Graficar Beograd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Graficar Beograd VS Napredak

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 38%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History