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Gramadense vs Apafut

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Gramadense Logo

Gramadense

3 - 0
FT
Apafut Logo

Apafut

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kerlly
41' Event
Mauricio Nunes
84' Event
Dieter
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between Gramadense and Apafut finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gramadense
35%
Draws
40%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gramadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Apafut's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 20%
Apafut Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Apafut
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 14 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs Apafut
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs Gramadense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerlly
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricio Nunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Apafut Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 28 / 100
Apafut 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Gramadense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Apafut's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 23 matches.

Recent resilience: Gramadense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Apafut
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
38% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
12 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 1
Gramadense
09 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
06 Aug
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Gramadense
01 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 7

Apafut

(Away)
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
05 Aug
Apafut
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
02 Aug
Passo Fundo
1 : 0
Apafut
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
2 Real SC 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
3 EC Guarani 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
4 Apafut 6 0 2 4 3:10 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riograndense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 SC Sao Paulo 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 SC Rio Grande 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
4 Farroupilha 6 3 2 1 6:4 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)