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Gramadense vs Novo Hamburgo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Gramadense and Novo Hamburgo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gramadense
39%
Draws
31%
Novo Hamburgo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gramadense come out ahead of Novo Hamburgo on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Novo Hamburgo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Novo Hamburgo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Gramadense
5:1
Jul 30, 2025 Gaucho 2
Gramadense vs Novo Hamburgo
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Gramadense
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 41 / 100
Novo Hamburgo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Novo Hamburgo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gramadense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gramadense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Novo Hamburgo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Novo Hamburgo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria2
GE Bage0
Passo Fundo3
Veranopolis4
Aimore3
Lajeadense0
Novo Hamburgo5
Gramadense1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria3
Veranopolis1
Aimore1
Novo Hamburgo3
Final
Inter Santa Maria2
Novo Hamburgo3