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Gramenet vs Santboia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Gramenet in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gramenet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gramenet
15%
Draws
0%
Santboia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gramenet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Santboia have won more games recently than Gramenet.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 20%
Santboia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramenet Santboia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.7 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs Gramenet
0:0
Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Santboia
0:4
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Santboia
1:0
Dec 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs Gramenet
1:3
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs Gramenet
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramenet 36 / 100
Santboia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramenet Santboia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santboia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Santboia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Santboia let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Gramenet found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Santboia
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramenet

(Home)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
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Santboia

(Away)
29 Aug
Santboia
0 : 2
Prat
25 Aug
Santboia
0 : 1
UE Castelldefels
17 Sept
L Hospitalet
3 : 1
Santboia
18 May
Santfeliuenc
2 : 1
Santboia
11 May
Santboia
0 : 1
L Hospitalet
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)