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Gramenet vs Vilassar de Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gramenet
15%
Draws
28%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gramenet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilassar de Mar lately — more wins on the board than Gramenet.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 20%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramenet Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.7 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Vilassar de Mar
0:2
Sep 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Vilassar de Mar
1:1
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Vilassar de Mar
1:1
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Gramenet
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramenet 31 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramenet Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gramenet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilassar de Mar let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vilassar de Mar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gramenet's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilassar de Mar
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramenet

(Home)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 6

Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)