Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gran Pena vs Atletico Arteixo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Uwumiro F.
63' Event
Carril R.
76' Event
Lopez H.

AI Match Summary

Gran Pena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gran Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gran Pena
30%
Draws
29%
Atletico Arteixo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Arteixo have won more games recently than Gran Pena.
  • Model gives Gran Pena a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Pena Atletico Arteixo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Atletico Arteixo
3:2
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Atletico Arteixo
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Gran Pena
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Gran Pena
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Atletico Arteixo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Carril R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Covelo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Uwumiro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Pena 50 / 100
Atletico Arteixo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Pena Atletico Arteixo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gran Pena scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Arteixo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Gran Pena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gran Pena VS Atletico Arteixo
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Pena

(Home)
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Arteixo

(Away)
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)