Sport Picks
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Cellerino G.
34'
34'
Coira A.
44'
44'
Lopez F.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gran Pena and Racing Club Villalbes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gran Pena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Racing Club Villalbes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Racing Club Villalbes haven't matched Gran Pena's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gran Pena | Racing Club Villalbes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
4:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Gran Pena
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Gran Pena
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gran Pena Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cellerino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Racing Club Villalbes Compare
Top Goalscorer Miguez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gran Pena 32 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gran Pena Racing Club Villalbes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gran Pena scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Gran Pena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Racing Club Villalbes let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gran Pena VS Racing Club Villalbes
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gran Pena
(Home) 04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2 Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2 Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0 Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2 Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2 Lalin
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2 Atletico Arteixo
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0 Antela
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2 Lalin
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
Page 1 of 3
Racing Club Villalbes
(Away) 03 Oct
Silva SD
0 : 0 Racing Club Villalbes
27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2 Celtiga
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3 Racing Club Villalbes
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Silva SD
0 : 0 Racing Club Villalbes
27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3 Racing Club Villalbes
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
