Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gran Tarajal vs CD Santa Ursula Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Gran Tarajal
20%
Draws
70%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • CD Santa Ursula have won more games recently than Gran Tarajal.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on CD Santa Ursula taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 25%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Tarajal CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Santa Ursula
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Gran Tarajal
2:0
Apr 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Gran Tarajal
3:2
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Santa Ursula
2:2
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Santa Ursula
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Tarajal 10 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Tarajal CD Santa Ursula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

CD Santa Ursula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

Gran Tarajal scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Gran Tarajal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Santa Ursula
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Tarajal

(Home)
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0
Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

CD Santa Ursula

(Away)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 34 24 8 2 68:22 80
2 Lanzarote 34 22 9 3 64:28 75
3 Union Sur Yaiza 34 21 11 2 62:19 74
4 Las Palmas B 34 22 8 4 74:24 74
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 52:39 55
6 Arucas 34 11 14 9 51:41 47
7 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 13 11 35:38 43
8 San Bartolome 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
9 Villa Santa Brigida 34 9 14 11 41:36 41
10 Tamaraceite 34 11 8 15 42:56 41
11 CD Marino 34 10 9 15 42:53 39
12 CD Buzanada 34 9 12 13 29:42 39
13 Herbania 34 9 11 14 30:46 38
14 Ibarra 34 9 9 16 35:45 36
15 Atletico Victoria 34 8 8 18 33:53 32
16 Teror 34 6 8 20 29:67 26
17 Gran Tarajal 34 4 12 18 21:54 24
18 CD La Cuadra 34 6 4 24 26:72 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)