Sport Picks
Gran Tarajal vs Panaderia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 
Match Events
20'
20'
38'
38'
Benitez S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 game between Gran Tarajal and Panaderia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panaderia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Panaderia come out ahead of Gran Tarajal on wins alone.
- Model gives Panaderia a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 20%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gran Tarajal | Panaderia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Panaderia
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Gran Tarajal
1:0
Jan 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Gran Tarajal
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Panaderia
0:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Panaderia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gran Tarajal Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Panaderia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gran Tarajal 10 / 100
Panaderia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gran Tarajal Panaderia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Panaderia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panaderia let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Gran Tarajal scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Gran Tarajal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Panaderia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gran Tarajal
(Home) 12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
21 Apr
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Teror
07 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 0 Tamaraceite
09 Mar
Gran Tarajal
0 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 3
Panaderia
(Away) 03 Oct
Panaderia
5 : 2 Anaza
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0 Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3 Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0 Panaderia
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
22 Apr
Las Palmas C
1 : 0 Panaderia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 68:22 | 80 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 64:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 62:19 | 74 |
| 4 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 74:24 | 74 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Arucas | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 7 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 8 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 41:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:56 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:53 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29:42 | 39 |
| 13 | Herbania | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Ibarra | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:45 | 36 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:53 | 32 |
| 16 | Teror | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:67 | 26 |
| 17 | Gran Tarajal | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 21:54 | 24 |
| 18 | CD La Cuadra | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 26:72 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
