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Gran vs Aurskog-Holand

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2016 game between Gran and Aurskog-Holand finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurskog-Holand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gran
35%
Draws
32%
Aurskog-Holand
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Gran haven't matched Aurskog-Holand's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gran Clean Sheet 20%
Aurskog-Holand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Aurskog-Holand
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Aurskog-Holand
1:4
Apr 7, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Aurskog-Holand vs Gran
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran 32 / 100
Aurskog-Holand 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Aurskog-Holand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurskog-Holand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurskog-Holand let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Gran's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gran VS Aurskog-Holand
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran

(Home)
26 Apr
Gran
0 : 8
Valerenga
22 Oct
Valdres
1 : 1
Gran
15 Oct
Gran
2 : 2
Skedsmo
08 Oct
Hauerseter
0 : 2
Gran
03 Oct
Gran
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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Aurskog-Holand

(Away)
22 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
4 : 4
Kongsvinger 2
15 Oct
Flisa
2 : 2
Aurskog-Holand
08 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
3 : 0
Ardal
01 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
5 : 0
Aurskog-Holand
27 Sept
Aurskog-Holand
1 : 3
Ull/Kisa 2
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