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Gran vs Sander

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2014 game between Gran and Sander finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gran
30%
Draws
31%
Sander
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gran a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gran have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gran Clean Sheet 13%
Sander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Sander
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.53 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.09 3.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Sander
3:1
May 28, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Gran
0:2
Aug 31, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Sander
1:0
May 18, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Gran
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran 35 / 100
Sander 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Sander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sander has conceded goals in 100% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gran scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gran remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gran VS Sander
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran

(Home)
26 Apr
Gran
0 : 8
Valerenga
22 Oct
Valdres
1 : 1
Gran
15 Oct
Gran
2 : 2
Skedsmo
08 Oct
Hauerseter
0 : 2
Gran
03 Oct
Gran
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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Sander

(Away)
22 Oct
Skedsmo
2 : 0
Sander
15 Oct
Sander
0 : 1
Hauerseter
10 Oct
Lillestrom 2
7 : 2
Sander
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
24 Sept
Sander
7 : 3
Hallingdal
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