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Grande Riviere vs Chebel Citizens

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grande Riviere play Chebel Citizens in the Super League 2024/2025. Chebel Citizens are favorites here. Recently, Grande Riviere averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Chebel Citizens averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Grande Riviere won 1, Chebel Citizens won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Grande Riviere and 3.38 for Chebel Citizens. This points to a Chebel Citizens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Grande Riviere
15%
Draws
64%
Chebel Citizens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Grande Riviere picked up more points recently compared to Chebel Citizens.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 3.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Grande Riviere Clean Sheet 10%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grande Riviere Chebel Citizens
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.3 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Grande Riviere
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Chebel Citizens
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Chebel Citizens
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Grande Riviere
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grande Riviere 21 / 100
Chebel Citizens 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grande Riviere Chebel Citizens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Chebel Citizens & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grande Riviere attacking → ← attacking Chebel Citizens

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grande Riviere scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Chebel Citizens let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Grande Riviere went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chebel Citizens lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 62
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cercle De Joachim18144035:646
2La Cure Waves18122440:1838
3Pamplemousses1893625:1830
4Petite Riviere1875621:1926
5Chebel Citizens1874726:2625
6AS Vacoas1864822:3022
7Port Louis1863921:2521
8PAS Mates1854918:2419
9Entente Boulet18441022:3416
10Grande Riviere18151220:508