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Granit Vladaya vs Pirin Blagoevgrad 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Granit Vladaya play Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 in the Third League - South-West 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Granit Vladaya averaged 0.93 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Granit Vladaya won 2, Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 31, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Granit Vladaya and 1.94 for Pirin Blagoevgrad 2. This points to a Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Granit Vladaya
25%
Draws
45%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pirin Blagoevgrad 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Granit Vladaya picked up more points recently compared to Pirin Blagoevgrad 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 10%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granit Vladaya Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 vs Granit Vladaya
3:2
Apr 9, 2022 Third League - South-West
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 vs Granit Vladaya
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granit Vladaya 29 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granit Vladaya Pirin Blagoevgrad 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Granit Vladaya attacking → ← attacking Pirin Blagoevgrad 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granit Vladaya scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Granit Vladaya went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 23
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vihren36265581:3483
2Kyustendil36244898:4676
3Oborishte Panagyurishte361910763:3367
4Rilski Sportist361881068:5162
5Bansko3615111045:3156
6Balkan Botevgrad361591260:5654
7Pirin Razlog361581357:4753
8Septemvri Simitli361651547:4653
9Bistritsa361571452:5152
10Septemvri Sofia 2361571446:4852
11Levski Sofia II361461639:4348
12Gotse Delchev3612111343:5747
13CSKA Sofia III3611131250:5146
14Botev Ihtiman3611121340:4745
15Slivnishki Geroy3610121444:4542
16Slavia Sofia 2369111641:5838
17CSKA 1948 Sofia III36792045:7030
18Pirin Blagoevgrad 2365102132:6425
19Granit Vladaya36282634:10711