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Granitas Klaipeda vs Atlantas

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Granitas Klaipeda play Atlantas in the A Lyga 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Granitas Klaipeda averaged 1 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Atlantas averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Granitas Klaipeda won 1, Atlantas won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 4, 2015 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Granitas Klaipeda and 0.86 for Atlantas. This points to a Atlantas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Granitas Klaipeda
22%
Draws
45%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atlantas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Granitas Klaipeda picked up more points recently compared to Atlantas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Granitas Klaipeda Clean Sheet 25%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granitas Klaipeda Atlantas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2015 TOPLYGA
Granitas Klaipeda vs Atlantas
1:5
Aug 1, 2015 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Granitas Klaipeda
1:1
May 11, 2015 TOPLYGA
Granitas Klaipeda vs Atlantas
1:2
Mar 14, 2015 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Granitas Klaipeda
0:1
Nov 4, 2014 Lithuanian Cup
Atlantas vs Granitas Klaipeda
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granitas Klaipeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Duminika D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atlantas Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vezevicius R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granitas Klaipeda 35 / 100
Atlantas 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granitas Klaipeda Atlantas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atlantas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Granitas Klaipeda attacking → ← attacking Atlantas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granitas Klaipeda scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Atlantas let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Granitas Klaipeda went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Atlantas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zalgiris363114104:2594
2Riteriai36273692:3384
3Atlantas36217865:3470
4Suduva362141176:3467
5FK Kauno Zalgiris361361747:7445
6Utenis361191641:5042
7FC Stumbras361181751:7441
8Granitas Klaipeda36692137:8327
9Siauliai36552637:9420
10Kruoja36482423:7220