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Granitas Vilnius vs Centras Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Granitas Vilnius advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Granitas Vilnius
15%
Draws
42%
Centras Alytus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granitas Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Granitas Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Granitas Vilnius's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Granitas Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Granitas Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Centras Alytus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granitas Vilnius Centras Alytus
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 16 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.26 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Centras Alytus
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granitas Vilnius 67 / 100
Centras Alytus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granitas Vilnius Centras Alytus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granitas Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granitas Vilnius scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Centras Alytus let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Centras Alytus lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Granitas Vilnius VS Centras Alytus
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Granitas Vilnius

(Home)
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
24 May
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
06 May
Granitas Vilnius
8 : 0
Kursenai
19 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 2
FC Stumbras
21 Jun
Saulininkas Siauliai
5 : 3
Granitas Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

Centras Alytus

(Away)
14 Jun
Savanoris
3 : 0
Centras Alytus
26 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
4 : 1
Centras Alytus
05 Jun
Centras Alytus
2 : 1
Viltis Vilnius
08 May
Gariunai Vilnius
3 : 0
Centras Alytus
26 Aug
LiCS Vilnius
1 : 0
Centras Alytus
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Zalgiris 1
Siauliai 0
Polonija Vilnius 1
Banga 9
FBK Kaunas 5
Jambo Klaipeda 0
Atlantas 0
Suduva 9
REO Vilnius 2
Tauras Taurage 1
FK Klaipeda 1
FK Kedainiai 5
Kruoja 2
FK Atmosfera 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Ekranas 2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris 1
Banga 0
FBK Kaunas 0
Suduva 3
REO Vilnius 7
FK Kedainiai 1
Kruoja 1
Ekranas 2
Semi-finals
Zalgiris 2
Suduva 2
REO Vilnius 0
Ekranas 4
Final
Zalgiris 1
Ekranas 0