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Granville vs Bordeaux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hamard S.
23' Event
Etonde L.
34' Event
Ramos A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Granville and Bordeaux finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Granville
30%
Draws
38%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bordeaux come out ahead of Granville on wins alone.
  • Bordeaux are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Granville Clean Sheet 10%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granville Bordeaux
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.35 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Granville vs Bordeaux
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Granville
0:1
May 10, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Granville
3:2
Jan 11, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Granville vs Bordeaux
1:2
Jan 7, 2018 Coupe de France
Granville vs Bordeaux
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamard S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Etonde L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Openda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granville 26 / 100
Bordeaux 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granville Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granville scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Granville stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bordeaux conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Granville VS Bordeaux
0.88 Goals Scored 2.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Granville

(Home)
03 Oct
Granville
2 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
05 Sept
Granville
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
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Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)