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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Marinhense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz host Marinhense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. This has Marinhense written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz at 0 goals for, 0 against; Marinhense at 0.25 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Marinhense slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.68) point toward Marinhense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
6%
Draws
4%
Marinhense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marinhense lately — more wins on the board than GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Marinhense
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Marinhense
0:0
Sep 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Marinhense vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 85 / 100
Marinhense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Marinhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinhense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Marinhense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Marinhense
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Home)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
Page 1 of 4

Marinhense

(Away)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)