Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grapiuna vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alves C.
45'
Oliveira D.
46'
Evanilson

AI Match Summary

Grapiuna host EC Ypiranga in the Baiano 2 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Grapiuna at 0.38 goals for, 4.13 against; EC Ypiranga at 1.5 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor EC Ypiranga slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 2.81) point toward EC Ypiranga. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grapiuna
6%
Draws
90%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Ypiranga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Grapiuna.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for EC Ypiranga.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs EC Ypiranga
1:2
Jun 7, 2015 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Grapiuna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grapiuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

EC Ypiranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley Ceifador
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
EC Ypiranga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna EC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grapiuna scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

EC Ypiranga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grapiuna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EC Ypiranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS EC Ypiranga
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabuna972020:723
2Bahia de Feira962128:520
3Fluminense de Feira962116:520
4Galicia943220:915
5EC Ypiranga934211:913
6Vitoria da Conquista83238:1111
7SSA924310:810
8Leonico821512:207
9Grapiuna90184:311
10Teixeira de Freitas90180:240