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Grapiuna vs Fluminense de Feira

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2022 game between Grapiuna and Fluminense de Feira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense de Feira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grapiuna
6%
Draws
90%
Fluminense de Feira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense de Feira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fluminense de Feira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fluminense de Feira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense de Feira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Fluminense de Feira
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1 3.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Fluminense de Feira
0:4
Jun 29, 2025 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Fluminense de Feira
0:3
Jun 30, 2024 Baiano 2
Fluminense de Feira vs Grapiuna
2:0
Jun 10, 2023 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Fluminense de Feira
0:0
Jun 5, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Fluminense de Feira
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
Fluminense de Feira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Fluminense de Feira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Grapiuna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grapiuna scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Fluminense de Feira conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS Fluminense de Feira
1 Goals Scored 3.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jequie1171314:1022
2Jacobinense1162317:920
3Juazeiro1155118:820
4Itabuna1154215:1019
5Jacobina1152417:1017
6Botafogo BA1144311:1216
7Galicia1143411:1215
8CE Flamengo1142510:814
9Fluminense de Feira113448:1213
10Canaa EC1125413:1611
11Feirense112187:187
12Grapiuna111376:226